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37 No author, "Clinton tells Maehara Senkaku subject to Japan-U.S. security pact", Associate Press, September 23, 2010, http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D9IDOG4O0.
38 Zhongqi Pan, "Standing Up to the Challenge: China's Approach to its Maritime Disputes", ISPI Analysis, no. 184, June 2013.
39 Robert A. Manning, "US counterbalancing China, not containing", East Asia Forum, July 9, 2013, http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2013/07/09/us-counterbalancing-china-not-containing/.
40 Henry A. Kissinger, "The Future of U.S.-Chinese Relations: Conflict Is a Choice, Not a Necessity", Foreign Affairs, March/April 2012.
41 Michael Yahuda, "China's New Assertiveness in the South China Sea", Journal of Contemporary China, vol. 22, no. 81, May 2013, p. 446.
42 S. R. Joey Long, Simon Tay, Kumar Ramakrishna, Carlyle A. Thayer, Zheng Wang, "Round table: US Re-engagement in Asia", Asian Policy, no. 12, July 2011, p.11.
43 National Intelligence Council, "Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World", Washington DC, November 2008, www.dni.gov/nic/NIC_2025_project.html.
44 Mark E. Manyin, Stephen Daggett, Ben Dolven, Susan V. Lawrence, Michael F. Martin, Ronald O'Rourke, and Bruce Vaughn, "Pivot to the Pacific? The Obama Administration's 'Rebalancing' Toward Asia", Washington D.C.: Congressional Research Service, March 28, 2013, p. 12.
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46 Yoichi Kato, "Interview/ Kurt Campbell: China should accept U.S. enduring leadership role in Asia", Asahi Shimbun, February 9, 2013.术语运用的改变，在一定程度上反映了奥巴马政府在探索如何重新聚焦亚洲时的混乱。最初建议的“前沿部署外交”（forward-deployed diplomacy），由于被指责具有军国主义色彩（特别是在敏感的中国看来）而被抛弃；随后提出的“转向亚洲”（the Asia pivot）则引起了美国的中东和欧洲盟友的抱怨，因为他们认为这意味着本地区被抛弃了。现在白宫倾向于使用“再平衡”（the rebalancing），而一些政策制定者则直截了当地使用“回归亚洲”（return to Asia）的说法。Hannah Allam, "Obama is still searching for right tone in executing' Asia pivot'", McClatchy Newspapers, January 22, 2013, http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2013/01/22/180696/obama-is-still-searching-for-right.html.
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China and the United States Should Seek New Balance of World Power
Zhao Suisheng
Abstract: China's rise has forced the leaders in both Beijing and Washington to make a strategic response to their possible confrontation globally and particularly in the Asia-Pacific region. The Asia-Pacific region has become a test field for China and the United States to explore the possibility of building a new type of great-power relationship for the 21st century. Indeed, US-China competition could take their relationship into the pathway of rivalry in spite of the endorsement of the new type of great power relationship by leaders in both Beijing and Washington. Given the increasing interdependence between the two countries, any unilateral US attempts to contain China are likely to be sporadic at best. As a result, these two countries have to find a realist approach to work together and construct a regional order based on balance of power to avoid the so-called historic inevitability of the structural conflict between a rising power and incumbent superpower.
Keywords: China's rise, a new type of great power relations, strategic rebalance, balance of power
赵穗生.pdf【作者简介】
赵穗生，美国丹佛大学约瑟夫·科贝尔国际关系学院终身教授兼美中合作中心主任、哈佛大学费正清中心研究员、《当代中国》（英文）主编。
研究方向：中美关系、中国外交、中国政治。
主要著作：《权力的设计》（英文）、《东亚权争》（英文）、《邓小平时代的决策过程》（英文）、《转型中的中美关系》（英文）等。
