注释
1、Jakub Grygiel, "The Return of Europe's Nation-States-The upside to the EU's Ccrisis", Foreign Affairs, September/October 2016, pp.94-101.
2、参见英国秘密情报局(军情六处)前局长约翰•索沃斯的文章《大国竞争时代回来了》,《金融时报》中文网,http://www.ftchinese.com/story/001069845,2016年10月25日。
3、IMF: World Economic Outlook, October 2016.
4、Richard Haass, "World Order 2.0-The Case for Sovereign Obligation", Foreign Affairs, January/February 2017, pp.2-3.
5、Newton R. Bowles, The Diplomacy of Hope: The United Nations Since the Cold War, New York: I.B.Tauris& Co. Ltd.,2004.
6、周荣国:《当前资本主义的现实困境、内部争论和未来走势》,《当代世界》,2017年第1期。
The Changing World and Uncertain Times
—The Current Trend of the Evolution of the International Order
Fu Mengzi Fu Yu
Abstract: With the adjustment of international order and the deepening of its differentiation, how to treat the "changes" and the "unchanges" in international relations has become an important subject before us. In such a complex and volatile situation, it is necessary to notice the uncertainties and risks that may affect the direction of world development, and also see that some basic trends that have long influenced the world development have not fundamentally changed. Although it is still difficult to systematically and clearly describe the future world and international order, but as the world history has repeatedly shown, the crisis often breeds a turnaround opportunity, the world and international order may open a new chapter for development among adjustment and turmoil.
Keywords: Uncertainty, Avert Chaos, New Order
傅梦孜,中国现代国际关系研究院副院长、研究员,武汉大学国家领土主权与海洋权益协同创新中心研究员。研究方向为国际关系、中美问题。主要著作有《中美战略关系新论》《世界直接投资:发展、理论与现实》等。付宇,中国现代国际关系研究院世界政治研究所副研究员。